Stochastic Trend

David Stern's Blog on Energy, the Environment, Economics, and the Science of Science

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

p-Curve: Replicable vs. Non-Replicable Findings

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Recently, Stephan Bruns published a paper with John Ioannidis in PLoS ONE critiquing the p-curve.  I've blogged about the p-curve pr...
Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Mid-Year Update

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It's the first official day of winter today here in Australia, though it has felt wintry here in Canberra for about a week already. ...
Monday, May 23, 2016

Should We Test for Cointegration Using the Johansen Procedure If We Want to Estimate a Single Equation Static Regression?

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A student from Cuba asked me: "I want to apply the DOLS methodology... I have read several books and research works about DOLS but n...
Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Stochastic Trend Included in Top 100 Economics Blogs!

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I'm honored that Stochastic Trend has made it into a list of the top 100 economics blogs , albeit at position 99. It's a good lis...
Friday, May 13, 2016

"Replicating" the Climate Contest

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My previous post discussed Doug Keenan's climate contest. I wondered how accurate we could actually expect to be in such a situation. I...

More Mathiness in Climate Econometrics: Doug Keenan's Climate Change Contest

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My colleague Robert Kaufmann got an e-mail from Doug Keenan inviting him to participate in his " climate change contest " withou...
Saturday, April 16, 2016

The Time Effect in the Growth Rates Approach

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After a very long process our original paper on the growth rates approach was rejected by JEEM about a month ago. I think the referees s...
1 comment:
Thursday, April 7, 2016

Should We Stop Investing in Carbon-Free Energy So That We Will Be Able to Afford CCS?

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Myles Allen has a new interesting paper in Nature Climate Change :"Drivers of Peak Warming in a Consumption-Maximizing World", wh...
Friday, March 11, 2016

Economic Growth and Global Particulate Pollution Concentrations

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I have just posted another working paper in the Trends and Drivers series, this time coauthored with recent Crawford masters student Jere...
1 comment:
Thursday, March 3, 2016

My Submission to Stern Review of the REF

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The Stern Review of the REF (Research Excellence Framework) is the latest British government review of research assessment in the UK, foll...
Thursday, February 25, 2016

Economic Growth and Particulate Pollution Concentrations in China

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A new working paper coauthored with Donglan Zha , who is visiting the Crawford School, which will be published in a special issue of Envir...
Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Mathiness in Climate Change Econometrics

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Terence Mills has a " white paper " on the Global Warming Policy Foundation Website. It predicts little future increase in tempe...
1 comment:
Saturday, February 13, 2016

Family Portrait

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This will slow things down for a while :) Noah was born two days ago. He is a very large baby - 4.71kg and 55cm long. If he was a t-stati...
2 comments:
Saturday, January 23, 2016

PhD Applications Again

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Three and a half years ago, I wrote a post about PhD applications . Since then, I have received a huge number of enquiries from prospectiv...
Friday, January 22, 2016

Follow-up on Anti-Vax

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So, apparently my impression that anti-vax was a right wing cause (anti-government mandates/one-world government or whatever) was unusual a...
Thursday, January 21, 2016

Drivers of Industrial and Non-Industrial Greenhouse Gas Emissions to be Published in Ecological Economics

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My paper with my former master's student Luis Sanchez has been accepted by Ecological Economics . This is one of the papers in the seri...
Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Long-run Estimates of Interfuel and Interfactor Elasticities

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A new working paper coauthored with Chunbo Ma on estimating long-run elasticities. This is one of the major parts of our ARC DP12 project ...
Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Influential Publications in Ecological Economics Revisited to be Published in... Ecological Economics

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Our paper on the changes over the last decade in patterns of influence in ecological economics has been accepted for publication. Not very...
Thursday, January 14, 2016

People's Ability to Delude Themselves is Amazing

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The Australian reported a couple of days ago that the University of Wollongong gave a PhD for a thesis by an anti-vaccination activist, Jud...
Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Between and Within

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This will be obvious to anyone with a good understanding of econometrics, but it is quite stunning really to think that all the information ...
Monday, January 4, 2016

The Environmental Kuznets Curve after 25 Years

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This year marks the 25th anniversary of the release of the working paper: " Environmental Impacts of a North American Free Trade Agree...
2 comments:
Sunday, December 27, 2015

Annual Review 2015

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I've been doing these annual reviews since 2011. They're mainly an exercise for me to see what I accomplished and what I didn...
Sunday, November 15, 2015

Wrapping up ARC DP12 Project

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I just submitted the final report for this funded project which has been running since 2012 to the research office. We achieved most of th...
2 comments:
Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Really, What is the NBN For?

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What I mean is, why do we need a new government network in urban areas? We just got a "set top box" for streaming Chinese TV chan...

Superannuation Reform

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I started writing this on Twitter but it got too long :) Peter Martin proposes taxing superannuation contributions at ordinary income tax...
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